Forecasting · The scenario set · Element

The scenarios

Each alternative path, described by what is different about the world.

The part

What it is

Two or three is enough. More produces a set nobody uses and a false impression of coverage.

Each should be internally coherent — a world where several things are true together, rather than one variable moved.

The smallest level

The attributes it carries

Each attribute is one of the framework’s shared types. What a date is, and how it is written, is defined once for the whole model — the note here says what it means in this particular place.