Business Core · Manufacturing Operations · Module

Capacity planning

Matching what can be produced to what will be needed, over a horizon long enough that capacity can still be changed.

The idea

How it works

Capacity is set by the constraint, not by the average. Adding capability anywhere other than the bottleneck changes cost without changing output, which is why so much investment produces no measurable improvement.

The horizon matters as much as the number. Capacity that takes nine months to add must be planned nine months ahead, and demand signals that arrive later than that cannot be responded to whatever anyone decides.

Working with it

In practice

  1. 01

    Find the constraint before investing

    Output is set by one step. Improving any other step moves the queue, not the total.

  2. 02

    Plan on the lead time of capacity

    How long it takes to add is what sets the planning horizon.

  3. 03

    Decide whether to lead or lag demand

    Leading costs idle capacity; lagging costs missed sales. Choose rather than drift.

  4. 04

    Distinguish theoretical from practical capacity

    After maintenance, changeover and variability, practical capacity is the number that plans should use.

One level in

The components of capacity planning

A component is something that exists afterwards which did not exist before — a deliverable or a mechanism, not an intention.

  1. The capacity model

    Practical output per period, per resource, with the constraint identified.

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  2. The demand plan

    What will be needed, over a horizon matching capacity lead time.

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  3. The capacity decision

    Whether to lead or lag demand, and what triggers the next change.

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Investment away from the constraint changes cost without changing output. Find the constraint first.