Omni Core · Loyalty Programs · Module

The economics

What the programme costs, including the liability that accumulates, and what it returns.

The idea

How it works

The cost has three parts: what redemption costs, what running the programme costs, and the liability of points earned and not yet used. The third grows quietly and appears in the accounts long after the decision.

Breakage — points that are never redeemed — is what makes many programmes viable, and depending on it is a position that regulators and accounting standards have both narrowed.

Working with it

In practice

  1. 01

    Value the liability properly

    Points outstanding times expected redemption cost. It grows with the programme and is rarely revisited after launch.

  2. 02

    State the breakage assumption

    What proportion is assumed never to be redeemed. A programme that only works at high breakage is fragile.

  3. 03

    Include the running cost

    Administration, communication, systems and the customer service the programme generates.

  4. 04

    Recalculate annually

    The economics at launch and the economics at scale differ, usually unfavourably.

One level in

The components of the economics

A component is something that exists afterwards which did not exist before — a deliverable or a mechanism, not an intention.

  1. The cost

    Redemption cost plus running cost per period.

    Learn
  2. The liability

    Points earned and not yet redeemed, valued.

    Learn
  3. The return

    What the programme produces, against what it costs.

    Learn

A programme that only works at high breakage is fragile, and breakage assumptions have been narrowing for years.