Leading indicators · The causal assumption · Element
The claim
The stated causal link between the two measures.
The part
What it is
The claim is written as a mechanism, not a correlation: this happens, which causes that. A stated mechanism can be argued with.
Recording confidence alongside it is what makes the weakest links visible without having to test them all.
The smallest level
The attributes it carries
Each attribute is one of the framework’s shared types. What a date is, and how it is written, is defined once for the whole model — the note here says what it means in this particular place.