Golden Opportunities · The record · Component
The expectation
What was expected to happen, recorded at the time — because expectations reconstructed afterwards match whatever occurred.
The deliverable
What it is
A decision without a recorded expectation cannot be assessed. Any outcome can be reconciled with a belief that was never written down.
The expectation should be specific enough to be wrong, which is what makes the later check meaningful.
One level in
What it is made of
Each element is a constituent part of the component. Follow one to see the attributes it carries.
The conditions
What the expectation depended on.
3 attributes: Assumption · Held · Knowable at the time
LearnThe alternative
What was expected to happen instead.
3 attributes: Expected instead · Capacity used for · Happened
Learn
For a decline, record what the freed capacity was expected to do instead. It is usually the reason the decline was wrong.