Performance Analysis · Reading the result · Component
The confidence
How much weight the finding can bear, stated rather than implied — because an unstated confidence is read as certainty.
The deliverable
What it is
A finding presented without a stated confidence is read as certain, because that is the default reading of a number in a presentation.
Stating confidence also allows it to be checked later, which is how analytical judgement improves rather than merely accumulating.
One level in
What it is made of
Each element is a constituent part of the component. Follow one to see the attributes it carries.
The summary placement
Whether the confidence appears where the finding does.
3 attributes: In summary · Wording used · Survived retelling
LearnThe calibration
Whether past confidence has been justified.
3 attributes: Confident and correct · Findings checked · Bias
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A confidence statement in an appendix is one nobody reads. It belongs in the same sentence as the finding.
The other components in reading the result
The finding
What the analysis actually shows, with effect size — because a real effect too small to matter is expensive to act on.
LearnThe alternatives
Other explanations for the same result, and which can be excluded — because a finding with unexcluded alternatives is a hypothesis.
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