Year Wheel · The cycle · Component

The demand cycle

When customers buy across the year — measured from the organisation’s own history rather than assumed from the sector.

The deliverable

What it is

Almost every business has a demand shape across the year, and most know it approximately and have never plotted it.

Plotted, it usually turns out to be sharper than expected and to peak slightly earlier, which changes when preparation has to happen.

One level in

What it is made of

Each element is a constituent part of the component. Follow one to see the attributes it carries.

  1. The shape

    How demand moves across the year.

    3 attributes: Period · Demand · Of annual

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  2. The drivers

    Why the shape exists.

    3 attributes: Driver · Applies to · Confidence

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  3. The stability

    How reliable the pattern is.

    3 attributes: Years observed · Variation · Plannable

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Plot it from sales rather than from budget. The budget encodes what was hoped.